Eric Winograd

Senior Economist—Fixed Income

Eric Winograd is a Senior Vice President and Senior Economist for Fixed Income, responsible for the economic and interest-rate analysis of the US, Canada and Mexico. He joined the firm in 2017. From 2010 to 2016, Winograd was the senior economist at MKP Capital Management, a US-based diversified alternatives manager, where he produced thematic research to describe, illuminate and forecast the market environment for the firm’s investment team. From 2008 to 2010, he was the senior macro strategist at HSBC North America, responsible for generating macroeconomic views for their Private Bank Investment Group of the Americas and applying them to asset allocation, portfolio construction and tactical trade decisions. Earlier in his career, Winograd worked at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the World Bank. He holds a BA (cum laude) in Asian studies from Dartmouth College and an MA in international studies from the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies. Location: New York

Three Possible Paths for Fed Interest Rate Policy in 2020
Fed Next Steps: What’s Likely, What’s Not

Fed Next Steps: What’s Likely, What’s Not

by Eric Winograd
The Fed has signaled it is unlikely to cut interest rates again in December, but we expect further rate cuts next year. We believe the Fed has not yet done enough to protect the economy against headwinds. While we don’t forecast a US recession, we think additional monetary policy easing will be needed to stabilize growth.

Economics


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The Fed is Cutting Rates. Will That Be Enough?
The Fed Has More in Its Policy Tool Kit Than You Might Think
Is a New Front About to Open in the US-China Trade War?
Fed Looking for an Ounce of Prevention with Rate Cuts
Trade Wars Likely to Change the Fed’s Interest-Rate Game Plan
What’s Up (or Down) with the Fed’s Balance Sheet
Will Modern Monetary Theory Go Mainstream?
The Case of the Missing Inflation…and What the Fed’s Doing About It
Is the Fed Done with Rate Hikes This Year…and Next?
The Long View: China—The Indispensable Nation?

The Long View: China—The Indispensable Nation?

by Douglas J. Peebles, Eric Winograd
A generation ago, China had little influence beyond its borders. Today, its importance to the world economy rivals the United States’. China’s role in markets is growing, too: in April, it will join a major global bond index. The future may bring a freely traded Chinese yuan and a challenge to the US dollar.

China, Currency, Economics, Fixed Income, Late-Cycle Investing


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The Long View: Is Tech Helping or Hurting?

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