Low interest rates and easing monetary policy have made for a benign market environment for the past decade. But as several major central banks shift into tightening mode, the rising tide that lifted all boats is finally receding, leaving behind moderate growth, core inflation grinding higher, rising interest rates, and both policy and politics are potent sources of tail risk. In the 3rd Quarter Capital Markets Outlook, we discuss the strategies investors can use to find alpha in both fixed income and equities, as well as protect themselves from substantial risks to the downside in a rapidly changing world.

Major changes are coming to capital markets–and they’re coming fast. The era of easy monetary policy is drawing to a close, with the Federal Reserve already hiking and the European Central Bank preparing to curtail asset purchases by the end of the year. The low interest rates that buoyed asset prices for the last decade are rising, and inflation is slowly grinding higher. Economic growth, while still solid, has likely peaked. With these changes and heightened political risk around the globe, volatility has returned to capital markets.

Investors, in other words, have much to digest as we head into the second half of the year. In this quarter’s Capital Markets Outlook, we discuss the importance of searching for high-growth companies with solid balance sheets in equities, keeping fixed-income allocations balanced between credit and rates and remaining mindful of the need for downside protection. The chance that either policy or politics will push inflation, interest rates or both higher at a significantly faster pace is a substantial tail risk that warrants investors’ attention.

Past performance, historical and current analyses, and expectations do not guarantee future results. There can be no assurance that any investment objectives will be achieved. The information contained here reflects the views of AllianceBernstein L.P. or its affiliates and sources it believes are reliable as of the date of this publication. AllianceBernstein L.P. makes no representations or warranties concerning the accuracy of any data. There is no guarantee that any projection, forecast or opinion in this material will be realized. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The views expressed here may change at any time after the date of this publication. This document is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. AllianceBernstein L.P. does not provide tax, legal or accounting advice. It does not take an investor’s personal investment objectives or financial situation into account; investors should discuss their individual circumstances with appropriate professionals before making any decisions. This information should not be construed as sales or marketing material or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument, product or service sponsored by AB or its affiliates.

The views expressed herein do not constitute research, investment advice, or trade recommendations and do not necessarily represent the views of all AB portfolio-management teams.

Investment Products Offered: Are Not FDIC Insured | May Lose Value | Are Not Bank Guaranteed

AllianceBernstein Investments, Inc. (ABI) is the distributor of the AllianceBernstein family of mutual funds. ABI is a member of FINRA and is an affiliate of AllianceBernstein L.P., the manager of the funds.

AllianceBernstein® and the AB logo are registered trademarks and service marks used by permission of the owner, AllianceBernstein L.P.

© 2018 AllianceBernstein L.P.

Clients Only

The content you have selected is for clients only. If you are a client, please continue to log in. You will then be able to open and read this content.