What You Need to Know

Investing in a portfolio of small- and mid-cap stocks has attracted growing interest from investors because it targets a compelling sweet spot of risk-adjusted returns. It combines the high-risk, high-reward aspects of small-cap investing with the degree of stability that medium-sized companies provide. Inefficiencies created by thin analyst coverage and distortions of the SMID benchmark are creating fertile ground for active managers.

Percentage of Profitable Stocks in Russell 2500 Index of SMID-cap stocks

June 30, 2017

Annualized Outperformance of Median Active Manager in SMID Stocks

1990-2017

Average Number of Analysts Covering Each Russell 2500 Stock

September 30, 2017

Panera Bread had a proven recipe for restaurant expansion and profits, and for years the markets ate it up. But in 2016 it seemed as if some investors were losing their appetite. Even with brisk sales and rising profitability from new in-store enhancements, Panera shares trailed a benchmark of small- and medium-size growth companies for much of the year.

The company’s otherwise solid execution came at a time of broader market indigestion toward dining businesses and shifting consumer buying trends. Yet that didn’t deter European holding company JAB from announcing in April 2017 that it would acquire Panera for $7.5 billion, a premium of more than 50% to the share price at the end of the previous year.

For Panera shareholders, the deal was a windfall that highlighted the advantages of a unique blend of small-cap and mid-cap equities. Known as SMID-cap stocks, the asset class bridges between companies with smaller market capitalizations and stocks at the lower end of the mid-cap valuation range like Panera.

The SMID Sweet Spot

SMID-cap investing has attracted growing interest from investors because it targets a compelling sweet spot of risk-adjusted return. It’s based on the high risk, high reward aspects of small-cap stock investing while blending in seasoned medium-sized companies that partially offset the challenges and volatility experienced by their smaller peers. Panera was an example of mid-cap company with a long resume of earnings growth and seasoned management that was not fully appreciated by the market—and ultimately delivered rewards to investors.

Smaller companies have outperformed large-cap stocks for decades (Display). But small-cap stocks are usually more volatile, suffer from thin trading liquidity and are often more vulnerable to business downturns or macroeconomic slowdowns.

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In this paper, we demonstrate the benefits of adding a layer of medium-sized companies like Panera to a portfolio of smaller stocks. With better business plans and stronger balance sheets, smaller mid-caps are generally much more profitable than small-caps (Display).

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Powerful Potential In SMID Stories

Through stories of individual companies, we illustrate the opportunities and risks, and highlight the importance of applying a bottom-up, active approach, to SMID-cap investing. In our view, this approach can help investors identify SMID companies that are better equipped to weather unforeseen shocks to the economy or markets, while providing added maturity, tested business models and higher financial resiliency.

In a world of lower expected returns and heightened uncertainty, we believe that SMID-cap stocks are an important component of an equity allocation that can help investors enjoy the high-return potential of small-cap investing while taking the edge off the accompanying risk.

Past performance, historical and current analyses, and expectations do not guarantee future results.There can be no assurance that any investment objectives will be achieved. The information contained here reflects the views of AllianceBernstein L.P. or its affiliates and sources it believes are reliable as of the date of this publication. AllianceBernstein L.P. makes no representations or warranties concerning the accuracy of any data. There is no guarantee that any projection, forecast or opinion in this material will be realized. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The views expressed here may change at any time after the date of this publication. This document is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. AllianceBernstein L.P. does not provide tax, legal or accounting advice. It does not take an investor’s personal investment objectives or financial situation into account; investors should discuss their individual circumstances with appropriate professionals before making any decisions. This information should not be construed as sales or marketing material or an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument, product or service sponsored by AB or its affiliates.

The views expressed herein do not constitute research, investment advice, or trade recommendations and do not necessarily represent the views of all AB portfolio-management teams.

MSCI makes no express or implied warranties or representations, and shall have no liability whatsoever with respect to any MSCI data contained herein. The MSCI data may not be further redistributed or used as a basis for other indices or any securities or financial products. This report is not approved, reviewed or produced by MSCI.

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