When the Fed slowed the pace of rate hikes, markets quickly priced in easing inflation, setting the stage for an early-2023 market rebound. However, with recent data showing continued strength in the consumer and still-present inflation pressures, both the central bank and investors remain wary of an unpredictable policy course ahead.
Given this uncertainty, many investors still find the short-term segment of the yield curve an attractive destination, enabling them to pick up potential income with less duration risk. Unlike similar past economic cycles, individual and institutional investors are expressing this view with an expanded toolkit that includes actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs). These funds combine a transparent, tax-efficient vehicle with the professional skill of active management.
In 2022, actively managed bond ETFs in the US reached a record-breaking $138 billion in assets under management. With the inverted yield curve spurring many investors to gravitate toward low-duration bond strategies, US ultra-short bond active ETFs saw nearly $8 billion in net flows pour in over the course of the year (Display). That’s up almost 33% from 2021, according to Morningstar Direct.