May 08, 2019 The Three Risks Bond Investors Should Be Watching by Douglas J. Peebles Risk assets have bounced back this year after a dreadful finish in 2018, with a big assist from the US central bank. But are markets overlooking the potential for problems down the road? Fixed Income, Later in the Cycle, Rising Rates Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
April 23, 2019 Misreading the Signs: Is Yield-Curve Inversion a False Alarm? by Sharat Kotikalpudi The US yield curve dipped into inverted territory recently. But that’s not necessarily a bad omen for equities. There are several important warning signals—and lately the yield curve’s slope is the only one flashing red. Multi-Asset, Rising Rates Likes 1 SHARE Bookmarks
April 16, 2019 Is Inversion Panic Justified? by Scott Krauthamer In recent weeks, the US yield curve has been making investors nervous again. The curve has inverted before each of the last seven recessions, and it did so again on March 22. But what does an inversion really mean for equity returns? Equities, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 30, 2019 Building a Macro-Resistant Equity Portfolio by Kent Hargis, Sammy Suzuki, Chris Marx After a volatile year in global markets, equity investors are on high alert. With so much uncertainty about the macroeconomic growth outlook, we think it's important to make sure that an equity allocation is positioned to do well no matter what happens to the economy. Equities, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 29, 2019 Municipal Bonds: Three Strategies for 2019 by Daryl Clements Municipal bond investors like their muni portfolios to play the role of Old Faithful in their overall asset allocation, providing safety and income. But that doesn’t mean that the investment environment is reliably the same. How can muni investors stay on track in 2019? They can adhere to these three strategies. Active & Passive , Fixed Income, Municipals, Rising Rates Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 22, 2019 Are Global Stocks Divorced from Reality? by Mark Phelps, Dev Chakrabarti Equities declined around the world in 2018, and valuations fell sharply. The risks are clearly significant—but have stocks fallen too far? With earnings still expected to advance this year, we think selective investors can find attractive entry points. Equities, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 15, 2019 How to Keep Your Balance in Shaky Bond Markets by Matthew Sheridan Bond strategies that balance interest-rate and credit risk struggled in 2018. Is this time-tested approach past its prime? Hardly. We think investors will need to blend exposure to both to generate income and limit risk in 2019. Fixed Income, Later in the Cycle, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 14, 2019 US Equities: Could 2018 Pain Become 2019 Gain? by James T. Tierney, Jr., Frank Caruso, Kurt Feuerman With US stocks facing multiple risks, it’s easy to lose sight of the positive trends that could help the market recover. In 2019, investors should search for select stocks with the right attributes to produce positive surprises in a potentially tricky market environment. Equities, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 09, 2019 Fixed-Income Outlook: Three Themes We’re Watching in 2019 by Douglas J. Peebles The past year was a rough ride for bond investors. Will 2019 deliver more of the same? Economics, Fixed Income, Rising Rates, Volatility Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
January 08, 2019 Keep Your (High) Income On Track In 2019 by Will Smith, Fahd Malik 2019 may be a challenging year for high-income investors. That makes it more important than ever to embrace a global approach and to focus on quality. Oh, and don’t fret too much about rising rates. Fixed Income, Rising Rates Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
December 20, 2018 Fewer Fed Rate Hikes in Store—But Not Because the Economy’s Faltering by Eric Winograd As expected, the Fed hiked interest rates yesterday, but we now think there will be fewer hikes in 2019 than we previously called for. Not because the US economy is in trouble, but because the Fed is changing its approach to setting policy. Economics, Policy & Regulation, Rising Rates Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
December 17, 2018 Is the US Housing Market Headed for a Correction? by Michael S. Canter, Janaki Rao, Monika Carlson The median price of a US single-family home has risen just over 40% since the last housing-market crash. While newspaper headlines may put readers on edge, our analysis indicates a gradual slowdown, not a bursting bubble—in most regions. Alternatives, Fixed Income, Rising Rates Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks
December 17, 2018 Will Fallen Angels Disrupt US Credit Markets? by Matthew Minnetian, Susan Hutman, Gershon Distenfeld The media and some market observers are bracing for a blizzard of BBB-rated bonds to get downgraded to junk as the credit cycle turns. We expect it will be closer to a flurry. Fixed Income, Rising Rates Likes 0 SHARE Bookmarks